Search Results for author: Vladimir Trunov

Found 5 papers, 0 papers with code

Online Aggregation of Probability Forecasts with Confidence

no code implementations29 Sep 2021 Vladimir V'yugin, Vladimir Trunov

In this paper the problem of combining probabilistic forecasts is considered in the PEA framework.

Online Learning with Continuous Ranked Probability Score

no code implementations26 Feb 2019 Vladimir V'yugin, Vladimir Trunov

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields of statistical science.

Online Aggregation of Unbounded Losses Using Shifting Experts with Confidence

no code implementations2 Aug 2018 Vladimir V'yugin, Vladimir Trunov

We develop the setting of sequential prediction based on shifting experts and on a "smooth" version of the method of specialized experts.

valid

Universal Algorithm for Online Trading Based on the Method of Calibration

no code implementations16 May 2012 Vladimir V'yugin, Vladimir Trunov

We present a universal algorithm for online trading in Stock Market which performs asymptotically at least as good as any stationary trading strategy that computes the investment at each step using a fixed function of the side information that belongs to a given RKHS (Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space).

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