no code implementations • 22 Aug 2023 • Gilberto Boaretto, Marcelo C. Medeiros
This paper examines the effectiveness of several forecasting methods for predicting inflation, focusing on aggregating disaggregated forecasts - also known in the literature as the bottom-up approach.
no code implementations • 22 Mar 2023 • Rafael Alves, Diego S. de Brito, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Ruy M. Ribeiro
We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily.
no code implementations • 30 Dec 2021 • Iuri H. Ferreira, Marcelo C. Medeiros
In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment.
no code implementations • 7 Apr 2021 • Marcelo C. Medeiros, Henrique F. Pires
It is widely known that Google Trends have become one of the most popular free tools used by forecasters both in academics and in the private and public sectors.
no code implementations • 22 Feb 2021 • Jianqing Fan, Ricardo Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros
Factor and sparse models are two widely used methods to impose a low-dimensional structure in high-dimensions.
no code implementations • 23 Dec 2020 • Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes
In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting.
no code implementations • 8 Nov 2020 • Jianqing Fan, Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros
The data consist of daily sales and prices of five different products over more than 400 municipalities.
no code implementations • 19 Dec 2019 • Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes
There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models.