Search Results for author: Marcelo C. Medeiros

Found 8 papers, 0 papers with code

Forecasting inflation using disaggregates and machine learning

no code implementations22 Aug 2023 Gilberto Boaretto, Marcelo C. Medeiros

This paper examines the effectiveness of several forecasting methods for predicting inflation, focusing on aggregating disaggregated forecasts - also known in the literature as the bottom-up approach.

Time Series

Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices: The Benefits of Factor Models and Shrinkage

no code implementations22 Mar 2023 Rafael Alves, Diego S. de Brito, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Ruy M. Ribeiro

We propose a model to forecast large realized covariance matrices of returns, applying it to the constituents of the S\&P 500 daily.

Modeling and Forecasting Intraday Market Returns: a Machine Learning Approach

no code implementations30 Dec 2021 Iuri H. Ferreira, Marcelo C. Medeiros

In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment.

BIG-bench Machine Learning

The Proper Use of Google Trends in Forecasting Models

no code implementations7 Apr 2021 Marcelo C. Medeiros, Henrique F. Pires

It is widely known that Google Trends have become one of the most popular free tools used by forecasters both in academics and in the private and public sectors.

Bridging factor and sparse models

no code implementations22 Feb 2021 Jianqing Fan, Ricardo Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros

Factor and sparse models are two widely used methods to impose a low-dimensional structure in high-dimensions.

Model Selection regression +1

Machine Learning Advances for Time Series Forecasting

no code implementations23 Dec 2020 Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting.

BIG-bench Machine Learning Time Series +1

Regularized Estimation of High-Dimensional Vector AutoRegressions with Weakly Dependent Innovations

no code implementations19 Dec 2019 Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes

There has been considerable advance in understanding the properties of sparse regularization procedures in high-dimensional models.

Time Series Time Series Analysis +1

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