1 code implementation • 3 May 2024 • Ron P. Smith, M. Hashem Pesaran
The risk premia of traded factors are the sum of factor means and a parameter vector we denote by {\phi} which is identified from the cross section regression of alpha of individual securities on the vector of factor loadings.
1 code implementation • 17 Apr 2024 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Andreas Pick, Allan Timmermann
We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive accuracy of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and Bayesian estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes.
1 code implementation • 26 Jan 2024 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Ron P. Smith
Forecasts play a central role in decision making under uncertainty.
no code implementations • 24 Dec 2023 • Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mahrad Sharifvaghefi
We pose the issue of whether one should use weighted or unweighted observations at the variable selection stage in the presence of parameter instability, particularly when the number of potential covariates is large.
no code implementations • 3 Nov 2023 • Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, Ron P. Smith
Using a transformation of the autoregressive distributed lag model due to Bewley, a novel pooled Bewley (PB) estimator of long-run coefficients for dynamic panels with heterogeneous short-run dynamics is proposed.
no code implementations • 28 Oct 2023 • Andrea Nocera, M. Hashem Pesaran
We investigate the short- and long-term impacts of the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) on non-financial firms' capital structure using a threshold panel ARDL model.
1 code implementation • 18 Oct 2023 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Liying Yang
Extensions to panels with time effects are provided, and a Hausman-type test of correlated heterogeneity is proposed.
no code implementations • 9 Sep 2023 • Ida Johnsson, M. Hashem Pesaran, Cynthia Fan Yang
This paper proposes a structural econometric approach to estimating the basic reproduction number ($\mathcal{R}_{0}$) of Covid-19.
1 code implementation • 8 Jun 2023 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Liying Yang
It proposes estimators for the moments of the cross-sectional distribution of the autoregressive (AR) coefficients, assuming a random coefficient model for the autoregressive coefficients without imposing any restrictions on the fixed effects.
1 code implementation • 28 Feb 2023 • Zhan Gao, M. Hashem Pesaran
The utility of the proposed estimator is illustrated by estimating the distribution of returns to education in the U. S. by gender and educational levels.
no code implementations • 4 Oct 2021 • Dario Laudati, M. Hashem Pesaran
This paper considers how sanctions affected the Iranian economy using a novel measure of sanctions intensity based on daily newspaper coverage.
no code implementations • 1 Sep 2021 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Yimeng Xie
In a recent paper Juodis and Reese (2021) (JR) show that the application of the CD test proposed by Pesaran (2004) to residuals from panels with latent factors results in over-rejection and propose a randomized test statistic to correct for over-rejection, and add a screening component to achieve power.
no code implementations • 1 Sep 2021 • M. Hashem Pesaran, Cynthia Fan Yang
This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic.
no code implementations • 2019/08 2019 • Matthew E. Kahn, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan N. C. Ng, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Jui-Chung Yang
We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labor productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables—defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms.