Search Results for author: M. Hashem Pesaran

Found 14 papers, 6 papers with code

Identifying and exploiting alpha in linear asset pricing models with strong, semi-strong, and latent factors

1 code implementation3 May 2024 Ron P. Smith, M. Hashem Pesaran

The risk premia of traded factors are the sum of factor means and a parameter vector we denote by {\phi} which is identified from the cross section regression of alpha of individual securities on the vector of factor loadings.

Forecasting with panel data: Estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity

1 code implementation17 Apr 2024 M. Hashem Pesaran, Andreas Pick, Allan Timmermann

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive accuracy of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and Bayesian estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes.

Variable Selection in High Dimensional Linear Regressions with Parameter Instability

no code implementations24 Dec 2023 Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

We pose the issue of whether one should use weighted or unweighted observations at the variable selection stage in the presence of parameter instability, particularly when the number of potential covariates is large.

Variable Selection

Pooled Bewley Estimator of Long Run Relationships in Dynamic Heterogenous Panels

no code implementations3 Nov 2023 Alexander Chudik, M. Hashem Pesaran, Ron P. Smith

Using a transformation of the autoregressive distributed lag model due to Bewley, a novel pooled Bewley (PB) estimator of long-run coefficients for dynamic panels with heterogeneous short-run dynamics is proposed.

Causal effects of the Fed's large-scale asset purchases on firms' capital structure

no code implementations28 Oct 2023 Andrea Nocera, M. Hashem Pesaran

We investigate the short- and long-term impacts of the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) on non-financial firms' capital structure using a threshold panel ARDL model.

Trimmed Mean Group Estimation of Average Treatment Effects in Ultra Short T Panels under Correlated Heterogeneity

1 code implementation18 Oct 2023 M. Hashem Pesaran, Liying Yang

Extensions to panels with time effects are provided, and a Hausman-type test of correlated heterogeneity is proposed.

Heterogeneous Autoregressions in Short T Panel Data Models

1 code implementation8 Jun 2023 M. Hashem Pesaran, Liying Yang

It proposes estimators for the moments of the cross-sectional distribution of the autoregressive (AR) coefficients, assuming a random coefficient model for the autoregressive coefficients without imposing any restrictions on the fixed effects.

Identification and Estimation of Categorical Random Coefficient Models

1 code implementation28 Feb 2023 Zhan Gao, M. Hashem Pesaran

The utility of the proposed estimator is illustrated by estimating the distribution of returns to education in the U. S. by gender and educational levels.

Identifying the Effects of Sanctions on the Iranian Economy using Newspaper Coverage

no code implementations4 Oct 2021 Dario Laudati, M. Hashem Pesaran

This paper considers how sanctions affected the Iranian economy using a novel measure of sanctions intensity based on daily newspaper coverage.

A Bias-Corrected CD Test for Error Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel Data Models with Latent Factors

no code implementations1 Sep 2021 M. Hashem Pesaran, Yimeng Xie

In a recent paper Juodis and Reese (2021) (JR) show that the application of the CD test proposed by Pesaran (2004) to residuals from panels with latent factors results in over-rejection and propose a randomized test statistic to correct for over-rejection, and add a screening component to achieve power.

valid

Matching Theory and Evidence on Covid-19 using a Stochastic Network SIR Model

no code implementations1 Sep 2021 M. Hashem Pesaran, Cynthia Fan Yang

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic.

counterfactual

Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis

no code implementations 2019/08 2019 Matthew E. Kahn, Kamiar Mohaddes, Ryan N. C. Ng, M. Hashem Pesaran, Mehdi Raissi and Jui-Chung Yang

We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries, using a stochastic growth model where labor productivity is affected by country-specific climate variables—defined as deviations of temperature and precipitation from their historical norms.

counterfactual

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