Eliciting judgements about dependent quantities of interest: The SHELF extension and copula methods illustrated using an asthma case study

no code implementations • 4 Feb 2021 • Björn Holzhauer, Lisa V. Hampson, John Paul Gosling, Björn Bornkamp, Joseph Kahn, Markus R. Lange, Wen-Lin Luo, Caterina Brindicci, David Lawrence, Steffen Ballerstedt, Anthony O'Hagan

The first approach elicits experts' judgements about a quantity of interest conditional on knowledge about another one.

Gaussian process modeling of heterogeneity and discontinuities using Voronoi tessellations

no code implementations • 15 Feb 2018 • Christopher A. Pope, John Paul Gosling, Stuart Barber, Jill Johnson, Takanobu Yamaguchi, Graham Feingold, Paul Blackwell

Many methods for modelling spatial processes assume global smoothness properties; such assumptions are often violated in practice.

Methodology 62M30

Rank Pruning for Dominance Queries in CP-Nets

1 code implementation • 22 Dec 2017 • Kathryn Laing, Peter Adam Thwaites, John Paul Gosling

In this paper, we introduce a novel method of quantifying preference for any given outcome based on a CP-net representation of a user's preferences.

A Bayesian computer model analysis of Robust Bayesian analyses

no code implementations • 3 Mar 2017 • Ian Vernon, John Paul Gosling

We harness the power of Bayesian emulation techniques, designed to aid the analysis of complex computer models, to examine the structure of complex Bayesian analyses themselves.