Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting With Heterogeneous Data

Reasoning about human motion is an important prerequisite to safe and socially-aware robotic navigation. As a result, multi-agent behavior prediction has become a core component of modern human-robot interactive systems, such as self-driving cars. While there exist many methods for trajectory forecasting, most do not enforce dynamic constraints and do not account for environmental information (e.g., maps). Towards this end, we present Trajectron++, a modular, graph-structured recurrent model that forecasts the trajectories of a general number of diverse agents while incorporating agent dynamics and heterogeneous data (e.g., semantic maps). Trajectron++ is designed to be tightly integrated with robotic planning and control frameworks; for example, it can produce predictions that are optionally conditioned on ego-agent motion plans. We demonstrate its performance on several challenging real-world trajectory forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of state-of-the-art deterministic and generative methods.

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Datasets


Results from the Paper


Task Dataset Model Metric Name Metric Value Global Rank Result Benchmark
Trajectory Prediction ETH Trajectron++ Avg AMD/AMV 8/12 1.01 # 2
Trajectory Prediction ETH/UCY Trajectron++ ADE-8/12 0.21 # 7
Avg AMD/AMV 8/12 1.01 # 2
Trajectory Prediction nuScenes Trajectron++ MinADE_5 1.88 # 20
MinADE_10 1.51 # 19
MissRateTopK_2_5 0.7 # 22
MissRateTopK_2_10 0.57 # 19
MinFDE_1 9.52 # 20
OffRoadRate 0.25 # 27

Methods


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