Mean-field limits for non-linear Hawkes processes with excitation and inhibition

1 Feb 2021  ·  Peter Pfaffelhuber, Stefan Rotter, Jakob Stiefel ·

We study a multivariate, non-linear Hawkes process $Z^N$ on the complete graph with $N$ nodes. Each vertex is either excitatory (probability $p$) or inhibitory (probability $1-p$). We take the mean-field limit of $Z^N$, leading to a multivariate point process $\bar Z$. If $p\neq\tfrac12$, we rescale the interaction intensity by $N$ and find that the limit intensity process solves a deterministic convolution equation and all components of $\bar Z$ are independent. In the critical case, $p=\tfrac12$, we rescale by $N^{1/2}$ and obtain a limit intensity, which solves a stochastic convolution equation and all components of $\bar Z$ are conditionally independent.

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Probability 60G55, 60F05